1. Week Ahead Economic Preview: Week of 16 March 2026

   13 March 2026 Jingyi Pan Chris Williamson

   The week ahead is dominated by interest rate decisions at the world’s largest central banks, which will reveal policymaker reaction to the Middle...

2. Turkey as a supply chain reshoring center: Opportunities and challenges

   04 September 2024 Jessica Leyland Eric Oak Chris Rogers Andrew Birch

   Logistics network disruptions highlight Turkey’s potential as a manufacturing hub for European, Middle Eastern, and eastern US markets.

3. Mexico’s 2024 general election

   23 May 2024 Jose Sevilla-Macip

   Major policy shifts are likely in energy and US relations if Xóchitl Gálvez wins the presidency, while a Sheinbaum victory would like bring policy...

4. Bracing for El Niño’s impact

   05 December 2023 Yacine Rouimi William Farmer Theo Acheampong Rajiv Biswas Langelihle Malimela Jordan Anderson Hannah Cotillon Hafiz Noor Shams Archbold Macheka Anton Alifandi

   Although El Niño tends to peak in November to February, its impact will last longer.

5. CEE in focus: Shifting gears to monetary easing

   25 July 2023 Shuchita Shukla Michal Plochec Dragana Ignjatovic David Vagenknecht

   We forecast benchmark rate cuts across the region by early 2024, ahead of the ECB pivot expected in June 2024.

6. The global economy moves forward, averting recession

   22 February 2023 Sara Johnson

   The global economic outlook has brightened, with the major economies showing resilience in early 2023. However, persistent core inflation will...

7. US Weekly Economic Commentary: Spending, production declines

   19 December 2022 Lawrence Nelson Ken Matheny Ben Herzon Akshat Goel

   We expect that PCE growth will slow to a crawl early next year, as the economy rolls over into what will likely be a mild recession.

8. US Weekly Economic Commentary: Manufacturing vs. housing

   25 October 2022 Lawrence Nelson Ken Matheny Ben Herzon Akshat Goel

   Manufacturing activity expanded in September, while contraction has intensified in the U.S. housing sector.

9. US Weekly Economic Commentary: Inflation pressure 

   17 October 2022 Lawrence Nelson Ken Matheny Ben Herzon Akshat Goel

   The Fed will be forced to raise interest rates to support tight financial conditions and a softening in demand in pursuit of lower inflation....

10. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Commodity prices rise in a calm week for energy markets

    21 September 2022 Thomas McCartin

    Commodity prices marked a slight increase last week with a mixed bag between subcomponents

11. Outbreak of major fighting near southern Tigray

    25 August 2022 Jordan Anderson

    Outbreak of major fighting near southern Tigray increases risk of wider conflict resuming in northern Ethiopia

12. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Weak demand weighs on commodity markets

    27 July 2022 Michael Dall

    MPI drops for sixth week in a row as price correction continues

13. Mexico nearshoring potential for critical minerals

    26 July 2022 Rafael Amiel Jose Sevilla-Macip Emily Crowley

    Materialization of the nearshoring potential across sectors including critical minerals would significantly improve Mexico’s economic standing....

14. Growing appetite for copper threatens energy transition and climate goals

    18 July 2022 Olivier Beaufils Mohsen Bonakdarpour Keerti Rajan John Mothersole Frank Hoffman Daniel Yergin, Ph.D.

    The goal of Net-Zero Emissions by 2050 will be short-circuited and remain out of reach unless massive new copper supply comes online in a timely...

15. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Commodity prices down as energy markets calm

    13 April 2022 Brian Lawson

    The prospect of increased oil supply provides some relief to commodity prices

16. Banking risk monthly outlook: April 2022

    06 April 2022 Natasha McSwiggan

    Our banking risk experts provide insight into events impacting the financial sector in emerging markets in April

17. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Commodity markets see their first retreat of 2022

    25 March 2022 Tal Dickstein

    Our Weekly pricing pulse: prices pull back from record highs

18. US Monthly GDP Index for January 2022

    04 March 2022 William Magee Ben Herzon, Ph.D.

    According to our Monthly US GDP Index, monthly GDP was flat (0.0%) in January 2022.

19. Water: The dilemmas MENA governments are facing

    31 January 2022 Yasmine Ghozzi Ralf Wiegert Jihane Boudiaf

    The MENA region has been increasingly affected by water-related issues. How will this increase the risks to economic development, and for violent...

20. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Commodity price strength continues as oil reaches a seven-year high

    26 January 2022 Michael Dall

    Since the end of November 2021, commodity markets have seen extraordinary volatility. This week oil reaches a seven-year high to send the MPI...

21. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Commodity prices in free fall

    10 November 2021 Michael Dall

    Mainland Chinese intervention sparks a broad commodity sell-off

22. Taiwan crisis scenario could severely disrupt global manufacturing supply chains

    08 November 2021 Rajiv Biswas Elisabeth WaelbroeckRocha

    The shortage of semiconductors has created issues all along the supply chain. Our experts explore what risks could further impact the supply...

23. Capital Markets Weekly: Nigeria, Egypt, UK Green Bond debut confirm investor resilience despite Evergrande debt stress

    24 September 2021 Brian Lawson

    Both Nigeria and Egypt have completed sizeable debt sales, with little disruption from Evergrande’s debt stress.

24. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Material prices continue their downward slide amid concerns about softening demand

    22 September 2021 Thomas McCartin

    Iron ore and natural gas dominate commodity price moves

25. US Monthly GDP Index for June 2021

    02 August 2021 William Magee Ben Herzon, Ph.D.

    According to our Monthly US GDP Index, monthly GDP essentially unchanged in June.

26. US Monthly GDP Index for May 2021

    02 July 2021 William Magee Ben Herzon, Ph.D.

    According to our Monthly GDP Index, monthly GDP fell 0.1% in May.

27. Banking sectors in Cote d'Ivoire, Ethiopia, Senegal: Significant to High Risk

    22 June 2021 Ronel Oberholzer Greta Butaviciute Gabrielle Ventura

    Our Banking Risk Service has expanded its coverage of Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), launching risk ratings for Côte d’Ivoire, Ethiopia, and Senegal....

28. Vietnam's COVID-19 containment efforts

    31 May 2021 Anton Alifandi

    Vietnam’s new COVID-19 outbreak and slow vaccine rollout increase likelihood of global electronic supply disruption

29. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Feeding Frenzy

    12 May 2021 Michael Dall

    Demand soars and supply remains challenged leading to another week of strong commodity price increases

30. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Supply tightness continues to support higher prices

    21 April 2021 Michael Dall

    Supply disruptions and rising transportation costs pushed our Material Price Index higher last week

31. Impact of the AJP on the construction market

    12 April 2021 Scott Hazelton

    While much remains to be ironed out in the details, around $1.1 trillion, or nearly half the package, would accrue to the construction industry...

32. Terrorism in Mozambique’s Cabo Delgado province: Examining the data and what to expect in the coming years

    05 April 2021 Eva Renon

    Utilizing our incident data and analysis, our experts look at the security issues in Cabo Delgado, Mozambique

33. Capital Markets Weekly: Turkey revives adverse market focus increasing country-specific risks

    26 March 2021 Brian Lawson

    Turkey suffered adverse focus after another rapid change in its central bank leadership but emerging market supply proved resilient.

34. Global economic outlook: Will faster economic growth bring higher price inflation?

    22 March 2021 Sara Johnson

    Global real GDP expected to advance 5.1% in 2021, with global output hitting a new peak by Q3

35. The geopolitical implications of vaccine rollout programs across Europe

    18 March 2021 Petya Barzilska Janet Beal Jan Gerhard Ewa Oliveira da Silva Eoin Ryan Dijedon Imeri Brendan Melck Blanka Kolenikova Bibianna Norek

    The EU’s centralised approach raises supply delays but aids internal cohesion

36. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Supply challenges continue to support commodity price increases

    09 March 2021 Michael Dall

    Logistics issues in steel markets and longstanding shortages of microchips combined to send the MPI higher last week

37. Setback from COVID-19 on Thailand's economy

    25 February 2021 Jola Pasku

    Thailand’s economy suffers huge setback from COVID-19 in 2020, weakness likely to extend into 2021.

38. Civil unrest correlations

    24 February 2021 Zaineb al-Assam Jordan Anderson Dr. Marie Lechler Chris Suckling, Ph.D. Carla Selman Asad Ali

    Civil unrest in the coming years will be driven by a range of issues, including livelihood grievances if governments struggle to steer their...

39. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Supply problems send commodities higher

    23 February 2021 Michael Dall

    A winter cold snap in the US and the return of Chinese buyers boost commodity prices

40. Banking risk monthly outlook:February 2021

    04 February 2021 Natasha McSwiggan

    Our banking risk experts provide insight into events impacting the financial sector in emerging markets in February.

41. How much did the winners in the US-China trade war win?

    26 January 2021 Yacine Rouimi

    Southeast Asian economies emerged as beneficiaries of Section 301. Our researchers look at the actual impact

42. Chile’s green hydrogen strategy

    22 January 2021 Carla Selman

    A look at the risks and opportunities associated with the initiatives that could make Chile a leading participant in future hydrogen-based economic...

43. Canadian housing starts soften in December

    21 January 2021 Arlene Kish, M.A.

    Canadian housing starts were lower in December, however this announcement will not make a permanent dent on robust housing demand.

44. Africa Conflict Series: Mozambique

    07 January 2021 Langelihle Malimela Eva Renon

    The ongoing Islamist insurgency in Mozambique’s Cabo Delgado province is likely to expand territorially in 2021

45. Banking risk monthly outlook: Regional risks in 2021

    06 January 2021 Natasha McSwiggan

    Our banking risk experts provide insight into the regional events impacting the financial sector in emerging markets in 2021

46. Capital Markets Weekly: Late 2020 highlights include successful Ukraine tap and strong equity calendar

    17 December 2020 Brian Lawson

    This week’s market highlights included an upsized tap by Ukraine of its 2033 US dollar issue and Tesla placing USD5 billion of equity at prevailing...

47. Global economic outlook getting worse

    18 November 2020 Sara Johnson Nariman Behravesh, Ph.D.

    The renewed rise in infection rates threatens growth and increases the urgency of additional stimulus

48. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Commodities rise for eleventh straight week

    22 July 2020 Mr. William May

    Encouraging Chinese data and a softer dollar lifts commodity prices for an 11th consecutive week as policymakers weigh further stimulus

49. Capital Markets Weekly: New Zealand syndication highlights debt pressure on stronger borrowers

    18 June 2020 Brian Lawson

    On 15 June, New Zealand syndicated NZD7 billion of 2024 debt, doubling its prior record in April: Belarus and Honduras also successfully sold...

50. EU-UK Brexit Negotiations

    17 June 2020 Raj Badiani, BSc Econ MSc Econ Jan Gerhard

    UK’s plan not to prolong post-Brexit transition makes interim arrangements initially more likely than finalised EU deal

51. Managing global supply chain risk in uncertain times

    17 April 2020 Kristyna Alexova Aleksandra Maguire

    Findings from our EPIC report help supply chain professionals drive more informed decisions about how to best operate in unprecedented times

52. Ethiopia highlights challenges for African countries in coping with COVID-19

    01 April 2020 Alisa Strobel

    Ethiopia’s Prime Minster calls for emergency budgetary support and debt relief for African countries for which COVID-19 will pose a significant...

53. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Coronavirus fears shake commodities

    30 January 2020 William May

    Commodity markets, already slow over Lunar New Year, are being hit by worry over the impact of the coronavirus on Chinese demand

54. Czechia's Chinese investment relations

    28 January 2020 Blanka Kolenikova

    Czech president’s decision not to attend summit in China unlikely to alter foreign relations or affect investments

55. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Commodities continue rising as headwinds clear

    24 December 2019 William May

    Less uncertainty on trade supports rebounding commodity prices

56. Top 10 economic predictions for 2020

    17 December 2019 Nariman Behravesh, Ph.D.

    What's coming in 2020? Global growth will expand at a rate of 2.5 percent in 2020 before edging up to 2.7% in 2021 and 2022.

57. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Commodities rise but without conviction

    27 November 2019 William May

    Commodity prices finally join other asset classes in increasing

58. Italy's regional elections

    01 November 2019 Dijedon Imeri

    Umbria regional elections to bolster Italy’s Lega-led opposition and undermine cohesion of national government

59. Bank of Korea’s policy rate cut reflects growing concerns about slower global economic growth

    21 October 2019 Rajiv Biswas

    Rajiv Biswas, Asia Pacific Chief Economist at S&P Global, provides his comments on BOK’s decision to cut the policy rate

60. Nigeria's new cabinet

    05 September 2019 Theo Acheampong, Ph.D.

    New Nigerian cabinet's composition indicates government unlikely to reduce power-sector liquidity shortages and energy industry corruption

61. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Trade concerns continue to weigh on commodity markets

    14 August 2019 William May

    Commodity prices retreat, broadly led by an overdue correction in Iron ore

62. Why eurozone stubborn low inflation rate is a cause for concern

    16 July 2019 Ken Wattret

    Deflation worries would return if the economy were hit by a major adverse shock.

63. The Indian budget for 2019-2020

    10 July 2019 Deepa Kumar

    Indian budget focuses on tariff support for domestic manufacturing: wider economic liberalization in India likely to proceed gradually

64. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Commodities prices rally after six-week rout

    19 June 2019 William May

    Large moves in iron ore, lumber and other key commodities turned commodity prices up last week.

65. Capital Markets Weekly: Falling bond rates drive impressive sovereign debt calendar

    14 June 2019 Brian Lawson

    Five sovereign borrowers - Croatia, Indonesia, Italy, Lithuania and Spain - have issued this week with Peru, Serbia and Ukraine pending.

66. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Commodities hit by trade again

    29 May 2019 William May

    Inventories and demand concerns resulted in Brent's worst week in 2019

67. Capital Markets Weekly: Green Bond and Emerging Market supply shrugs off trade uncertainty

    28 May 2019 Brian Lawson

    Six major green bond sales and five emerging market sovereign issues confirm continued risk appetite.

68. Uganda opposition co-operation agreement

    16 May 2019 Jordan Anderson

    Ugandan opposition co-operation agreement increases risk of disruptive protests, indicates growing likelihood of contested election in 2021.

69. Capital Markets Weekly: US tariffs and Uber discount challenge equity appetite

    16 May 2019 Brian Lawson

    Emerging market debt remaining receptive; market sentiment to be tested by US-China trade dispute and soft initial Uber share price performance...

70. Papua terrorism risk

    14 March 2019 Matthew Henman Deepa Kumar

    Ambush underlines growing tempo of separatist violence in Indonesia’s Papua; threat remains limited in scope and capability.

71. Weekly Pricing Pulse: More bearish macro data proves too much for commodity prices

    13 March 2019 William May

    US jobs data and Chinese exports helped to weigh on global markets and sentiment

72. Weekly Pricing Pulse: MPI surges as iron ore disruption bites

    13 February 2019 William May

    Vale dam accident sends iron ore market running scared as prices test $90 /t level.

73. Upcoming Indonesian presidential election

    25 January 2019 Deepa Kumar

     Indonesia's 2019 presidential election likely getting tighter; policy continuity expected

74. Pakistan terrorism activity update

    22 January 2019 Asad Ali

    Pakistani separatist groups likely to be increasingly active despite sustained decline in nationwide NSAG attacks since 2014 .

75. Brexit update: Economic and political implications

    16 January 2019 Raj Badiani

    Analysis on the political and economic implications of the rejection of the proposed Brexit deal

76. The partial federal government shutdown and the January employment report

    10 January 2019 Ben Herzon, Ph.D.

    The unemployment rate could be boosted by as much as 0.2 percentage point and payroll employment could be reduced by as much as 380,000.

77. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Massive volatility in global markets spills into commodities again

    03 January 2019 William May

    Oil keeps the commodities rout going in an otherwise directionless market

78. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Oil suffers another rout

    29 November 2018 William May

    Demand concerns meant another bruising week for oil, with the MPI dropping again.

79. Holiday sales to bring plenty of cheer to US retailers this year

    27 November 2018 James Bohnaker

    A roaring job market is the gift that keeps on giving in 2018.

80. One-off factors lead to negative German GDP growth in Q3 2018

    20 November 2018 Timo Klein

    Temporary factors were responsible for much of the latest economic downturn

81. NBFC stress in India: Outlook and risks

    31 October 2018 Hanna Luchnikava-Schorsch Deepa Kumar Brian Lawson Angus Lam

    our initial assessment of the enactment of Section 7 of the RBI Act and the likely policy implications

82. Weekly Pricing Pulse: Markets consolidate during a cautious week

    25 October 2018 William May

    Geopolitical issues dominate, driving significant volatility in currency and commodity prices.

83. Brazilian election update

    12 October 2018 Carlos Caicedo

    Far-right candidate well-placed to win Brazil's presidential election in second round; support for austerity likely.

84. Kenyan government opts not to renew IMF financing

    27 September 2018 Ama Egyaba Baidu Forson

    Kenya's government has decided to manage its economy without access to nearly USD1 billion from the International Monetary Fund (IMF).

85. Thai election implications

    20 September 2018 David Li

    Thailand's 2019 election unlikely to alter military influence, civilian government likely to promote infrastructure spending, tax collection....

86. Update on Afghan peace talks

    12 September 2018 Asad Ali

    Further Taliban assaults on Afghan provincial cities likely but momentum towards peace talks also set to increase.

87. Argentinian austerity plan

    12 September 2018 Carlos Caicedo Carla Selman

    Argentina deepens austerity to secure IMF support and stabilize peso; doubts of government leadership undermine business confidence.

88. Weekly Pricing Pulse: MPI moves sideways against a backdrop of uncertain demand

    13 August 2018 William May

    Freight, ferrous and rubber prop up MPI in a stagnant commodity market

89. Indian banking-sector developments likely to strengthen troubled state banks

    23 July 2018 Deepa Kumar Angus Lam

    Recent banking-sector developments will strengthen and consolidate troubled state banks and allow increased foreign investment

90. Syria-Israel interstate war risks

    18 July 2018 Columb Strack

    Syrian government advance towards border with occupied Golan risks provoking major Israeli military response.

91. India-China trade barrier reductions

    13 July 2018 Deepa Kumar David Li

    Reduced India-China tariffs will expand market for Indian pharmaceuticals and broaden Indian start-ups' access to venture capital.

92. Sahel terrorism risk assessment

    29 June 2018 Jihane Boudiaf

    Umbrella jihadist group likely to exploit expanded reach across Sahel to attack security installations more frequently.

93. Eurozone budget proposal

    27 June 2018 Kit Nicholl Jan Gerhard

    French President Emmanuel Macron and German Chancellor Angela Merkel met on 19 June to discuss EU reform ahead of the 28–29 June European Council...

94. One step forward, two steps back for Polish pension reform

    22 June 2018 Sharon Fisher

    Poland’s 2017 retirement age reduction will damage public finances, raise the risk of poverty, and hurt an already tight labor market.

95. The future of the president of Burundi

    18 June 2018 Jordan Anderson

    Burundian president likely to stand for re-election despite "pledge to step down", increasing coup risks beyond 2018.

96. A Greek clean bailout exit is likely but not certain

    23 April 2018 Diego Iscaro

    It is likely Greece will exit its current program but there are several factors that could derail a "clean" exit.

97. Cyber security law in Thailand

    20 April 2018 David Li

    Thailand's National Reform Plans signals worsening operating environment for IT and social-media companies, election delays increase implementation...

98. Weekly Pricing Pulse uncertainty depresses commodity prices

    29 March 2018 Cole Hassay

    Policy developments contributed to market volatility last week

99. Bahraini militant support

    15 March 2018 Nazanin Soroush

    Apparent increase in Iranian material support for Bahraini militants likely intended as deterrence against Saudi escalation.

100. December Monthly GDP Index from Macroeconomic Advisers by IHS Markit

     28 December 2017 Kathleen Navin Ben Herzon

     According to our Monthly GDP Index, monthly GDP rose 0.8% in November.

101. Chemical prices gain amid soaring demand among European manufacturers

     18 December 2017 Sam Teague

     The latest S&P Global Price & Supply Monitor signaled little-change across global commodity markets.

102. A difficult tradeoff for buyers: How a NAFTA withdrawal would affect supply chains

     27 November 2017 Cole Hassay

     A US withdrawal from NAFTA could potentially impact domestic motor vehicle, electrical equipment, and machinery prices.

103. Wage watch: What to expect in Houston after Harvey

     10 October 2017 Emily Crowley

     Expect wages in the Houston area to jump in the fourth quarter and continue to rise over the next twelve months.

104. How does Hurricane Harvey impact economic growth in Texas?

     14 September 2017 Karl Kuykendall

     Third quarter GDP will take a hit but recovery efforts will boost growth into 2018

105. Cargo risks in Chile

     13 September 2017 Carla Selman

     Supply chain risks include road cargo theft in the Santiago and Valparaíso areas, plus arson in Araucanía.

106. Zapad-2017: Russian sabre rattling towards eastern Europe

     08 September 2017 Alex Kokcharov

     Major border incidents unlikely but the upcoming Russia-Belarus military exercises demonstrate the extent of Russia's potential reach.

107. Video: Implications of the Great Divergence

     28 July 2015 Nariman Behravesh, Ph.D.

     Interview of Nariman Behravesh on implications of the "Great Divergence." Interview Transcript What is the outlook for the world's major ...

108. Video: US economic outlook

     02 January 2015 Doug Handler

     Through 2016, the US will be among the fastest-growing developed countries. Growth levels will be determined by productivity, use of machinery...

109. Video: Gauging economic change in China

     02 January 2015 Brian Jackson

     As China's economy has grown, so have its service and private sectors. It is yet unknown if economic reforms-moving to lighter, greener ...

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