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PMI® Commentary and Analysis

Reliable and timely insight into the health of the global economy

Insights from our monthly Purchasing Managers’ Index™ (PMI®) survey data enable financial and corporate professionals to better understand where economies and markets are headed and uncover opportunities

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Featured
Economics Commentary Apr 23, 2015

UK retail sales fall, but upward consumer spending trend helps deficit reduction

Economics Commentary Apr 23, 2015

Flash Germany PMI dips slightly as investor sentiment deteriorates

Economics Commentary Apr 22, 2015

Pay outlook weakens as 'noflation' looks set to dampen pay negotiations

Economics Commentary Apr 14, 2015

US retail sales rise for first time in four months, but trend worst since 2009

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Viewing 1 - 10 of 141 results

  1. UK retail sales fall, but upward consumer spending trend helps deficit reduction

    23 April 2015

    "Retail sales fell in March, but it would be wrong to get too worried about one month's fall. The underlying trend in fact looks to have remained...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  2. Flash Germany PMI dips slightly as investor sentiment deteriorates

    23 April 2015

    "The German private sector economy expanded further at the start of the second quarter, but the pace of economic growth slowed slightly, according...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  3. Pay outlook weakens as 'noflation' looks set to dampen pay negotiations

    22 April 2015

    "Survey data collected from just under 2,000 employees in March and April point to disappointingly weak UK pay growth in 2015. The representative...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  4. US retail sales rise for first time in four months, but trend worst since 2009

    14 April 2015

    A rebound in retail sales in March provides evidence that the US economy is pulling out of a soft patch seen at the start of the year. The upturn...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  5. Global investment swings in early 2015 follow divergent policy outlooks

    13 April 2015

    "The year to date has seen major shifts in investor sentiment as outlooks diverge among the world's main economies. Investors have piled into...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  6. Week Ahead Economic Overview

    26 March 2015

    "As tensions mount between Athens and Brussels, the Greek debt crisis will play a major role in determining market trends next week. However...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  7. UK retail sales growth buoyed by falling prices

    26 March 2015

    "The UK's economic upturn continued to show strong momentum in February, with retail sales growth rebounding strongly, according to the Office...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  8. Eurozone industry sees best production trend for a year

    12 March 2015

    "Despite a setback in January, the trend in euro area industrial production is picking up. This upturn adds to the growing stream of better economic...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  9. lnvestors seek exposure to Russia, but PMI signals deepening recession

    04 March 2015

    "Russia's economic downturn deepened in February, with business surveys signalling the steepest decline in output since the height of the global...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  10. French flash PMI signals strongest upturn for three-and-a-half years

    20 February 2015

    "At last, the French economy appears to be reviving, enjoying its best growth spell for three-and-a-half years, buoyed by lower prices and increased..."...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  11. Global PMI surveys signal lacklustre start to the year for manufacturing

    03 February 2015

    "The world's factories reported a slight upturn in growth of business activity in January, but the pace of expansion remained one of the weakest...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  12. Manufacturing upturn adds to resurgent optimism on UK economic outlook

    02 February 2015

    "UK manufacturing PMI data for January had something for everyone, whether your cup is half full or half empty. Investors are certainly taking...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  13. Week Ahead Economic Overview

    29 January 2015

    Worldwide manufacturing and services PMI releases plus a US labour market update are highlights of the week alongside the Bank of England's policy...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  14. Flash PMI surveys paint downbeat picture of global manufacturing

    26 January 2015

    "Markit's flash manufacturing PMI data for January revealed the first insight into global economic trends at the start of the year, and provided...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  15. China flash PMI signals ongoing downturn but factories gain from lower oil prices

    23 January 2015

    "China's factories started 2015 on a flat note. At 49.8, the HSBC Manufacturing PMI mustered only a marginal rise from December's seven-month...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  16. Week Ahead Economic Overview

    22 January 2015

    "In a week that sees first estimates of fourth quarter GDP numbers for Spain, the UK and the US, the Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  17. Real wage growth and household optimism hit post-crisis highs in the UK

    21 January 2015

    "Unemployment has sunk below 6.0% for the first time in just over six years, wage growth is rising in real terms at the fastest rate since 2008...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  18. Retail sales downturn adds to US growth worries

    14 January 2015

    "Retail sales fell sharply in December, catching analysts by surprise but adding to survey evidence which points to a potentially marked slowdown...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  19. Hopes of ECB QE rise amid ongoing weakness of industrial production

    14 January 2015

    "Industrial production in the euro area grew more than expected in November, but the official data confirm the business survey evidence of only...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  20. Markit economic overview

    09 January 2015

    The following is an extract from Markit's monthly economic overview. For the full report please click the link at the bottom of the article....

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  21. PMI surveys signal global slowdown at year-end

    06 January 2015

    "The global economy lost further momentum as 2014 came to a close, according to Markit's worldwide PMI surveys. The JPMorgan-sponsored Global...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  22. Japan PMI surveys signal acceleration in economic growth at year-end

    06 January 2015

    "The pace of economic growth picked up in Japan at the end of 2014, providing the government with much-needed welcome news that the country is...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  23. UK construction sector growth more vigorous than previously thought

    12 December 2014

    "The construction sector has grown faster than previously thought so far this year, and especially in the third quarter, adding further to signs...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  24. ECB to reassess policy stance in early-2015

    05 December 2014

    "The European Central Bank made no changes to interest rates or other non-conventional policy tools at its December meeting, dashing any hopes...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  25. Bank of England holds policy amid growth risks and falling inflation

    04 December 2014

    "The Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee left interest rates on hold at their final meeting of the year, but it's likely that the nine...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  26. Italian manufacturing in renewed downturn

    01 December 2014

    "Italian manufacturing output continued to contract in November, adding to the likelihood of the sector acting as a drag on the wider economy...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  27. Commercial & professional services leads global rankings amid wider slowdown

    07 November 2014

    PMI™ data from Markit signalled that commercial & professional services topped the growth rankings in October, while food remained the best-performing......

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  28. US manufacturing new business growth eases to nine-month low

    03 November 2014

    "October data highlighted a slowdown in the ongoing U.S. manufacturing sector recovery, with output and new business growth both moderating during...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  29. UK retailers hit as warm weather dampens clothing sales

    23 October 2014

    A drop in UK retail sales in September probably tells us more about the weather than the economy. Retail sales fell 0.3% in September compared...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  30. Economic growth in China weakest since start of 2009

    21 October 2014

    Economic growth has slowed in China to its weakest since the height of the financial crisis. Gross domestic product rose at an annual rate of...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  31. UK household incomes rise on back of increased workplace activity

    15 October 2014

    "Households reported some encouraging news in relation to incomes and pay at the start of the fourth quarter, according to survey data providing...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  32. Eurozone industrial production suffers largest monthly fall for two years

    14 October 2014

    "Eurozone industrial production fell more than expected in August, adding to fears that the region is facing a slide back into recession. Official...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  33. German export fall adds to recession worries, but trend not really so bad

    09 October 2014

    "German exports plunged 5.8% in August, adding to fears that the eurozone's largest member state is sliding back into recession. The news follows...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  34. Eurozone growth wanes as downturns in France and Italy continue

    03 October 2014

    "The ongoing malaise in the eurozone economy continued at the end of the third quarter, with the latest PMI data showing a further waning of...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  35. Week Ahead Economic Overview

    02 October 2014

    Policy decisions at the Bank of England and the Bank of Japan plus industrial production numbers for a number of European countries are the highlights...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  36. PMI shows UK construction enjoying best quarter of growth for 17 years

    02 October 2014

    "After the manufacturing PMI signalled a disappointing slowing of factory growth in September, a near-record increase in activity registered...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  37. Week Ahead Economic Overview

    25 September 2014

    Worldwide manufacturing and service PMI releases plus updates on the US labour market and factory orders are highlights of the week. Other standouts...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  38. Subdued Japan PMI provides food for thought for policymakers

    24 September 2014

    "Japan's economy looks set to rebound from the contraction seen in the second quarter, but the recovery looks far from convincing, which will...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  39. UK unemployment drops to 6.2%, but MPC shows no rush to raise rates

    17 September 2014

    "UK unemployment continued to fall in July, but wage growth remained stuck at an all-time low. There was little therefore in the latest official...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  40. Lower US inflation rates provide leeway for loose policy

    17 September 2014

    "Inflation rates cooled around the globe in August, suggesting the global economic upturn remains too weak to generate price pressures to an...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  41. UK inflation falls to 1.5%, but house prices rise at fastest rate for seven years

    16 September 2014

    "UK inflation eased to the joint-lowest seen over the past five years in August, dropping further below the Bank of England's 2% target. The...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  42. Week Ahead Economic Overview

    11 September 2014

    "A vast amount of economic data are released during the week, including updates on inflation and the labour market in the UK and minutes from...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  43. UK output up in July but weakening trend evident

    09 September 2014

    "UK factory output rose for a second successive month in July, but the rate underlying rate of growth appears to have eased from the strong pace...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  44. Week Ahead Economic Overview

    28 August 2014

    Policy decisions at the Bank of England and the European Central Bank plus worldwide manufacturing and service sector PMI releases are the highlights...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  45. Bank of England maintains ultra-loose policy stance

    07 August 2014

    "There was no change in interest rates at the Bank of England at its August meeting, but we expect the minutes to show that opinion is moving...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  46. UK economy sees strong start to third quarter as PMI rises to highest since April

    05 August 2014

    The growth surge in the UK economy shows no signs of abating. The three Markit/CIPS PMI" surveys showed business activity expanding in July at...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  47. US manufacturing growth holds close to four-year peak

    24 July 2014

    "At 56.3 in July, down from 57.3 in June, the seasonally adjusted Markit Flash U.S. Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index" (PMI") signalled...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  48. UK inflation moves closer to Bank of England target in June, house prices surge

    15 July 2014

    UK inflation moved sharply higher in June alongside another surge in house prices. The news will further fuel expectations that the Bank of England...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  49. The UK manufacturing output slump contrasts with upbeat business surveys

    08 July 2014

    "Britain's factories saw a surprise drop in output in May, which will add to arguments that the recovery remains too fragile for policymakers...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  50. Week Ahead Economic Overview [7-11 Jul]: Monetary policy updates, European industry output and Chinese trade data

    04 July 2014

    "The Bank of England's monetary policy decision, FOMC meeting minutes and a host of industrial production data across Europe are highlights of...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  51. Construction sector booms, Bank of England raises prospect of 2014 rate hike

    13 June 2014

    "A booming construction industry, faster-than-previously-thought economic growth at the start of the year and hawkish remarks from the Bank of...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  52. Week Ahead Economic Overview [9-13 Jun]: UK jobless rate set to fall further

    05 June 2014

    "Next week sees a busy economic calendar. In the UK labour markets data are the highlight, providing important clues into the timing of the first...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  53. Eurozone manufacturing recovery slows

    02 June 2014

    "The recovery in the eurozone manufacturing sector registered a modest slowdown in May. At 52.2, down from 53.4 in April, the final seasonally...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  54. US economy set for rebound after contracting for first time in three years

    29 May 2014

    "The US recovery took a backward step in the first quarter, most likely the result of many parts of the country having been battered by extreme...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  55. Eurozone stuck in low gear as economy grows by just 0.2% in first quarter

    15 May 2014

    "The Eurozone economy expanded 0.2% in the first three months of the year, below expectations of a 0.4% increase. Growth of GDP in the first...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  56. One-in-three UK workers feel under-utilised by their employers

    12 May 2014

    "A survey of almost 1,000 households reveals a desire to work more hours. Nearly one-in-six employees would prefer to do more paid hours than...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  57. Global healthcare services activity rises sharply in April

    12 May 2014

    April global sector PMI data from Markit showed a sharp and accelerated increase in healthcare services business activity. Growth was the strongest...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  58. UK manufacturers enjoy second-best calendar quarter for 15 years

    09 May 2014

    "The UK manufacturing sector enjoyed its second-best calendar quarter of growth for fifteen years at the start of the year, with production up...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  59. German economy starts second quarter on solid footing

    07 May 2014

    "April's PMI surveys signal a strong start into the second quarter, with the rate of activity growth in Germany's private sector economy accelerating...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  60. Eurozone Flash PMI: Employment returns to growth as business activity expansion nears three-year peak

    23 April 2014

    "Growth of business activity in the euro area economy accelerated to its fastest for just under three years in April, leading to a return to...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  61. Continued expansion in output for Japanese manufacturers

    31 March 2014

    The headline seasonally adjusted Markit/JMMA Purchasing Managers' Index" (PMI") - a composite indicator designed to provide a single-figure snapshot...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  62. Robust US and eurozone growth contrasts with steepening downturn in China

    24 March 2014

    "Markit's flash PMI surveys showed ongoing marked divergences between manufacturing trends in the US, Eurozone and China in March. While business...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  63. Week Ahead Economic Overview [17-23 Mar]: UK Budget and US production

    13 March 2014

    "Next week's economic calendar features the publication of the 2014 UK Budget, alongside unemployment figures and the minutes from the latest...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  64. US retail sales and labour market show better than expected resilience to cold weather

    13 March 2014

    "Jobless benefit claims and retail sales both beat expectations, providing reassurances that the US is coping better than many had anticipated...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  65. Eurozone manufacturing output trends higher at fastest rate since April 2011

    12 March 2014

    "Manufacturing output in the euro area rose 0.3% in January, according to the official statistics body Eurostat. The increase took output 1.3%...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  66. US: Hiring beats expectations in February, but trend weakened by wet weather

    07 March 2014

    "Severe winter weather looks to have less of a dampened effect on hiring by US companies than anticipated. Non-farm payroll rose 175,000 in February,..."...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  67. UK recruitment industry reports further surge in employment and wage growth

    07 March 2014

    "Employment and recruitment agencies reported another month of surging demand for staff in February, with employment continuing to rise strongly...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  68. Emerging market growth slows further

    06 March 2014

    "The HSBC Emerging Markets Index (EMI), a monthly indicator derived from the PMI" surveys, fell for the third month running to 51.1 in February...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  69. UK pay growth creeps high as labour market continues to tighten

    19 February 2014

    Pay growth in the UK showed signs of lifting higher towards the end of last year as job creation continued to surge in the fourth quarter.Download...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  70. Global basic materials output expands at solid rate in January, though pace eases from December

    13 February 2014

    "Building on the strong growth evident in Q4 2013, global basic materials industry grew for the eighth month running in January, according to...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  71. New UK indicators to help understand the underlying economic environment

    28 January 2014

    Markit Economics has developed two new economic indicators to provide further understanding of the changing economic environment facing businesses...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  72. Eurozone Composite PMI hits highest since June 2011, signalling strengthening economic recovery

    23 January 2014

    "The euro area private sector economy grew for a seventh consecutive month in January, according to the flash Markit Eurozone PMI, with the rate...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  73. Chinese manufacturing slides back into contraction at start of 2014

    23 January 2014

    "The Chinese manufacturing economy contracted for the first time in six months in January, according to the flash PMI produced by Markit for...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  74. German retail sales rise in November

    07 January 2014

    "Retail sales data suggest that Germany's economic recovery is now spreading into the retail sector, following a two-month period of declining...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  75. Emerging market growth checked at year end

    07 January 2014

    "The HSBC Emerging Markets Index (EMI), a monthly indicator derived from the PMI surveys, signalled overall growth of output across global emerging...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  76. World's factories end 2013 on a high note

    02 January 2014

    "Global manufacturing ended 2013 on a high note, with growth of both output and employment picking up further momentum in December. The JPMorgan...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  77. UK recovery stronger than previously thought

    20 December 2013

    The UK economy has grown faster than previously thought over the past year. Updated data from the Office for National Statistics confirmed that...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  78. Fed tapers as US outlook improves, removing one more global economic uncertainty

    19 December 2013

    "The US Federal Open Market Committee started tapering its asset purchases at its December meeting. Something that many overlooked - especially...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  79. UK unemployment rate slumps to 7.4%

    18 December 2013

    Employment is surging higher and unemployment collapsing in the UK as the economic recovery has moved into a higher gear. The official data are...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  80. UK manufacturing job creation hits two-and-a-half year high

    02 December 2013

    "November saw the already solid upturn in the UK manufacturing sector gain further momentum. At 58.4, from an upwardly revised reading of 56.5...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  81. Banks and real estate weigh on global financial industry in October

    08 November 2013

    "Markit's global financials PMI data signalled a slower rate of expansion in activity in October, with a near-stagnation of banking activity...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  82. Emerging market growth picks up at start of Q4

    07 November 2013

    "The HSBC Emerging Markets Index (EMI), a monthly indicator derived from the PMI surveys, signalled the fastest rise in output in seven months...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  83. Bank of England keeps policy on hold amid signs of economic upturn

    07 November 2013

    "The Bank of England left monetary policy unchanged at its October meeting, meaning the Bank's base rate remains at a record low of 0.5% and...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  84. Eurozone retail sales fall at faster rate in October

    30 October 2013

    Eurozone retail PMI data from Markit showed a steeper drop in sales at the start of the final quarter of 2013. The Markit Eurozone Retail PMI...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  85. Chinese economic growth picks up to 7.8% in third quarter, but may be a peak

    18 October 2013

    "Economic growth in the third quarter picked up in China, but the prospect of a further improvement in the fourth quarter looks unlikely. Although...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  86. Demand for basic materials set to rise as global manufacturing strengthens

    11 October 2013

    "The global basic materials industry regained momentum at the end of the third quarter, according to Markit Global Sector PMI data. Output growth...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  87. Italy: Fall in output sparks GDP concerns

    10 October 2013

    "The latest official data are painting a disappointing performance of the Italian industrial sector in the third quarter, raising concerns about...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  88. Eurozone manufacturing expands throughout Q3 2013

    01 October 2013

    The eurozone manufacturing sector expanded for the third straight month in September. This meant that growth was recorded throughout the third...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  89. Renewed decline in eurozone retail sales in September

    27 September 2013

    "Retail PMI data from Markit showed a renewed decline in eurozone retail sales in September. The Markit Eurozone Retail PMI eased below neutrality...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  90. UK: House building helps drive construction industry upturn

    13 September 2013

    "Surging house building is helping drive a recovery of the UK construction sector, adding yet more evidence to suggest that the UK economic recovery...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  91. Global manufacturing growth edges higher

    03 September 2013

    The growth rate of the global manufacturing sector continued to edge higher in August. Although the overall pace of expansion remained only moderate...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  92. UK: Output and new orders rise at fastest rates since 1994

    02 September 2013

    Latest data indicated that the UK manufacturing sector maintained its robust start to the third quarter of 2013. After the solid increases in...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  93. US economic growth revised higher

    29 August 2013

    "The US economy grew faster than previously thought in the three months to June, largely attributable to an improvement in export performance....

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  94. Global consumer services leads growth rankings in July

    08 August 2013

    "The global consumer services sector gained momentum in July, according to new PMI data from Markit. Among eight broad sectors covered, consumer...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  95. Week Ahead Economic Overview [29 Jul - 02 Aug]: U.S. GDP and worldwide manufacturing PMI releases

    25 July 2013

    "A bumper week of economic releases includes worldwide manufacturing PMIs, US, eurozone and UK central bank decisions, plus US GDP and non-farm...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  96. Week Ahead Economic Overview [15-19 Jul]: Chinese GDP figures for second quarter

    11 July 2013

    A busy week of economic releases starts with the eagerly anticipated Chinese GDP data for the second quarter. Analysts are also keen to see the...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  97. Global chemicals output rises sharply in June

    09 July 2013

    "Markit's global chemicals PMI data are derived from surveys of over 1,300 companies in the global chemicals industry across 28 major economies....

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  98. Global Sector PMI: Further sharp increase in global financial services activity

    08 July 2013

    "Markit's global financials PMI data are derived from surveys of over 1,400 companies in banking, insurance, real estate and other financial...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  99. Japanese manufacturing orders rise at fastest rate for three years

    28 June 2013

    "The Markit/JMMA Manufacturing PMI rose in June to its highest since February 2011, pointing to ongoing robust growth of the Japanese goods-producing...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  100. Germany: IFO survey shows first improvement in business outlook for four months

    24 June 2013

    Further signs of the German economy regaining momentum were provided by the IFO survey's headline index rising for a second successive month...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  101. Week Ahead Economic Overview [24-28 Jun]: UK double-dip recession could be revised away

    20 June 2013

    "The week sees some potentially important updates to economic growth in the first quarter, with new estimates of GDP published for the UK, US...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  102. Week Ahead Economic Overview [17-21 Jun]: Flash PMIs updated for the US, China and the eurozone

    13 June 2013

    "We calculate the flash PMI data for June next week, publishing the results on Thursday for China, the eurozone and the US. May data showed China's..."...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  103. US: Mixed jobs report shows robust job creation doing little to combat high unemployment

    07 June 2013

    "US non-farm payrolls rose 175,000 in May, higher than expectations of 163,000. Ongoing economic growth is creating jobs at a reasonable rate...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  104. Output growth in emerging markets remains sluggish in May

    06 June 2013

    "The HSBC Emerging Markets Index (EMI), a monthly indicator derived from the PMI surveys, was unchanged from April at 51.4 in May. That was the...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  105. Week Ahead Economic Overview [27-31 May]: US GDP, consumer confidence and housing market updates to give guidance on Fed policy

    24 May 2013

    "More guidance on the health of the global economy in the first quarter will be provided by the publication of gross domestic product data for...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  106. Output growth at global steel-users eases to five-month low

    17 May 2013

    Worldwide steel-using firms reported a weaker expansion of output during April. The latest data from Markit showed that production at intensive...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  107. Japan surges out of recession

    16 May 2013

    "Official data confirmed the upbeat message from recent PMI surveys, indicating that Japan has surged out of recession. Gross domestic product...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  108. Canadian manufacturing shipments fall, but PMI suggests brighter picture for April

    15 May 2013

    "Canadian manufacturing shipments fell 0.3% in March, down to $49.5bn. Although the contraction was only marginal, it was a marked contrast to...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  109. UK industrial sector shows reassuring growth in March

    09 May 2013

    "UK factories stepped up a gear in March, boosting production for a second successive month. With surveys indicating that growth gained further...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  110. Marginal improvement in Chinese manufacturing operating conditions during April

    02 May 2013

    "April data from HSBC signalled only a slight improvement of operating conditions in the Chinese manufacturing sector, as output and new orders...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  111. Solid rises in output and new orders support continued expansion of Japanese manufacturing economy

    30 April 2013

    A modest improvement of Japanese manufacturing operating conditions was signalled during April. Led by a strong performance from investment goods......

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  112. Spanish unemployment breaks 6 million mark

    25 April 2013

    A further illustration of the crisis engulfing the Spanish economy was provided today by the latest quarterly labour market statistics release.......

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  113. UK retailers gloomiest for 15 months in April

    24 April 2013

    "UK retailers reported a drop in sales on average for the first time in eight months in April, and the outlook for sales in the coming month...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  114. UK retail sales rise in first quarter despite weather-related fall in March

    18 April 2013

    "Despite falling in March, which was in part attributable to bad weather, UK retail sales returned to growth in the fourth quarter, adding to...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  115. Week Ahead Economic Overview [15-19 Apr]: China releases Q1 GDP

    12 April 2013

    "A busy week for economy watchers starts with first quarter GDP data for China, which are likely to confirm earlier signals from the PMI surveys...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  116. Production rise adds to signs of industrial downturn easing in Germany

    09 April 2013

    "Downward trends in manufacturing output, industrial production and exports have eased in recent months, adding to signs that the German economy...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  117. US economic growth stronger than previously thought, but still meagre

    28 March 2013

    "The US economy grew more than first thought in the final quarter of last year, though slightly less than economists had been hoping. The annualised...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  118. HSBC Flash China Manufacturing PMI rebounds to signal strengthening upturn

    21 March 2013

    "The HSBC Manufacturing PMI rose to 51.7 in March, according to the flash estimate produced by Markit, rebounding from February's four-month...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  119. Rising business confidence points to global economic upturn in 2013

    18 March 2013

    "Worldwide business confidence has revived from the post-crisis low seen late last year, with expectations of business activity, revenues and...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  120. Week Ahead Economic Overview [18-22 Mar]: UK Budget accompanied by government borrowing, inflation and unemployment data

    15 March 2013

    "In what may be a turbulent week for sterling, the UK Chancellor sets out his fiscal policies in his Budget on Wednesday, which should also include...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  121. Largest monthly rise in US consumer prices since June 2009

    15 March 2013

    "A jump in gasoline prices meant US consumer prices rose more-than-expected in February, showing the largest monthly increase since June 2009....

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  122. Surge in U.S. job creation adds to signs of improving economic health

    08 March 2013

    "U.S. non-farm payrolls rose by 236,000 in February, smashing through market expectations of a rise of 160,000. Even though January's total was...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  123. UK Services PMI upturn puts economy on course for marginal growth in first quarter

    05 March 2013

    Worries about a triple-dip recession in the UK have been softened as service sector companies reported the strongest upturn in business activity...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  124. Strength of first quarter growth under scrutiny as Global PMI hits four-month low

    05 March 2013

    "Global economic growth slowed to a four-month low in February, according to the JPMorgan Global PMI, a survey-based leading indicator of worldwide...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  125. Return to contraction of UK manufacturing sector in February

    01 March 2013

    "The UK manufacturing sector lost considerable momentum during February, with output, new orders and employment all posting net reductions since...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  126. Week Ahead Economic Overview [25 Feb - 1 Mar]: Manufacturing PMIs to give update on health of global economy in February

    22 February 2013

    "The week starts with the release of the flash manufacturing PMI for China on Monday and ends with worldwide final PMI releases on Friday. However...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  127. European Commission sees eurozone contraction in 2013

    22 February 2013

    A downward revision to the European Commission's economic growth forecasts for the eurozone suggest that governments will be given more time...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  128. UK Government borrowing still set to rise despite healthy January surplus

    21 February 2013

    "Government borrowing figures were much better than expected in January but, with just two months of the tax year remaining, borrowing is still...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  129. US industrial production growth trend hits 11-month high despite January dip

    15 February 2013

    "Industrial production fell 0.1% in January, confounding analysts' expectations of a 0.2% increase. The downturn was led by a 0.4% drop in manufacturing..."...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  130. Official data confirm surveys, as Eurozone GDP shows largest fall since early-2009

    14 February 2013

    "Eurozone GDP contracted 0.6% in the final quarter of 2012, a steep contraction that was identified by PMIs well in advance of official data....

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  131. UK inflation stuck at 2.7% despite weak demand

    12 February 2013

    "UK inflation remained stuck at 2.7% for the fourth month running in January, according to the Office for National Statistics. Retail price inflation...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  132. Week Ahead Economic Overview [11-15 Feb]: Eurozone GDP to show deepening recession

    08 February 2013

    The first estimate of eurozone GDP in the final three months of 2012 is expected to show the region contracting for the third successive quarter....

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  133. European auto sector stabilises in January

    07 February 2013

    "Having undergone the steepest downturn since the height of the financial crisis last year, January PMI data for the European automobiles industry...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  134. Growth of UK manufacturing production at 16-month high in January

    01 February 2013

    "UK manufacturing production continued to expand at the start of 2013, following a further increase in new orders and ongoing efforts to clear...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  135. Eurozone business sentiment rises for third month running

    30 January 2013

    An increase in business sentiment for the third month running in January provides further evidence that the Eurozone's recession is showing signs...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  136. Week Ahead Economic Overview [28 Jan-1 Feb]: US GDP growth expected to have slowed in Q4

    25 January 2013

    The most important economic releases will come out of the US. The first estimate of US GDP in the final quarter of last year is expected to show...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  137. UK official data confirm fourth quarter economic contraction

    25 January 2013

    "The UK economy contracted more than expected in the final three months of last year according to official data, confirming earlier signs of...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  138. UK industrial production suffers steepest downward trend since April 2009

    11 January 2013

    Industrial production data for November add to the likelihood of the UK economy having contracted in the final quarter of last year. There are...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  139. Global Manufacturing PMI as a leading indicator of commodity prices

    10 January 2013

    "Historical analysis of the JP Morgan Global Manufacturing PMI, compiled by Markit, illustrates the predictive power of the index for tracking...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  140. Emerging market growth accelerates slightly in Q4 as manufacturing sector expands

    10 January 2013

    "The final EMI report for 2012 indicated a slight acceleration in economic growth across emerging markets worldwide. That said, total activity...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  141. UK: Renewed weakness in December PMI surveys rounds off worst quarter for three-and-a-half years

    04 January 2013

    The UK saw a renewed bout of economic weakness at the end of 2012. The all-sector Output Index from the three PMI surveys fell below the 50.0...

    • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)

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