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Medium- and Heavy-Commercial Vehicle Model Family Sales Forecast

Learn more about Medium- and Heavy-Commercial Vehicle Model Family Sales Forecast
Identify and determine the size of commercial vehicle business opportunities

In a volatile truck market, getting a validated forecast of future sales demand is essential. The Medium and Heavy Commercial Vehicle Model Family Sales Forecast provides a seven year view into future demand for vehicles greater than 6 tons.

The forecast combines vehicle registration data with S&P Global proprietary forecast methodology to provide an unprecedented level of detail enabling greater precision for volume and product planning workflows. No other company is able to forecast at this level of detail and reconciliation.

With the MHCV Model Family Sales Forecast you will be able to:

  • Predict sales volumes of individual truck model families by region and country
  • Assess competitive sets or custom segments/groups of truck model families
  • Evaluate the impact of new truck model introductions

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Original research and in-depth analysis of the world’s major commercial vehicle markets

Data/Forecast

The MHCV Model Family Sales Forecast provides 7 year unit sales forecasts delivered in monthly buckets for vehicles over six tons. Written forecast analysis and accompanying data sets are updated quarterly.

Available global or by region

  • North America (US and Canada) 
  • South America
  • Western Europe
  • Central Europe
  • Eastern Europe 
  • Greater China 
  • India 
  • Japan/Korea
  • ASEAN
Regional overviews
  • Economic forecast by country: Economic snapshot, GDP, labor market, inflation, interest rates and other key indicators
  • Sales/demand overview: Top-line sales volume analysis by country and by OEM for region including YTD trends and commentary on likely future direction
  • OEM overview: Short-term and long-term sales outlooks for each region’s major manufacturers, showing volume trends for major model families with explanatory notes
Cycle Plan Charts
  • Visual platform analysis – Short term and long term
  • Start of sales and end of sales dates (SOS & EOS) for models in each region
  • Illustrates known or expected OEM platform changes
Sales Volume Analysis
  • Actual and forecasted sales volumes by region
  • By gross-vehicle-weight class
  • By brand and group
  • By model family
  • By vehicle platform (architecture)
Tables

Prior year, current year plus seven forecasted years

  • Region
  • Country
  • Global sales sub-segment (weight class)
  • Region body type (artic/tractor vs. rigid/straight)
  • Global cab type
  • Sales parent
  • Sales brand
  • Platform
Segmentation
  • Brand
  • Model-Family
  • Platform
  • Program Code
  • Vehicle Type (artic/tractor vs rigid/straight)
  • Country
Events

Loyalty Industry Review Webinar March 2026

March 12 2026 | Global Join us for an in-depth examination of the key factors influencing the automotive industry, viewed through the critical lens of customer loyalty.
Learn more
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