Customer Logins

Obtain the data you need to make the most informed decisions by accessing our extensive portfolio of information, analytics, and expertise. Sign in to the product or service center of your choice.

Customer Logins

My Logins

All Customer Logins

United States (US) GDP Growth Forecast

GDP growth slowed at end-2018 and in first quarter 2019 to near trend of about 2%. Growth slipped in the fourth quarter of 2018 to 2.2%, from a robust 3.8% growth averaged over the middle two quarters of the year. The government shutdown pulled growth lower by 0.1 percentage point.

Contributing to a material slowing in GDP growth are slowing global growth, slightly higher interest rates, and less boost from rising stock prices, the effects of recent tariffs, a turn from inventory building to shedding, and the approach to capacity constraints. The slowing is expected to be broad-based, with softening growth also seen across consumer spending and business investment. 

To learn more, visit the US Economic Service.

Get near-term US GDP projections and the economic forecast with a US Forecast Flash Report
DOWNLOAD REPORT NOW

Key US GDP Forecast Drivers

  • Consumer spending growth was solid at 2.5%, but that masked an unexpectedly weak December. 
  • Nonresidential investment, which had slowed sharply in the third quarter following a strong first half in 2018, rebounded to grow at a respectable 5.4% pace. 
  • Net exports declined much less in the fourth quarter than had been expected. 
  • Import growth fell back to a 2.0% pace and exports, which declined in the third quarter, turned up to rise at a 1.8% rate US growth to slow in 2019 to trend-like 2% 

See how the S&P Global economics and country risk team works with you

Watch this short video to see how our experts helped a customer strategic planning team choose a Southeast Asian manufacturing location.

{}

Related Products

Construction Image

US Economic Service

Construction Image

US Regional Service

Economics Image

US Economic Data and Press Releases

Coal, Metals and Mining Image

US Industry Service

Economics Image

COVID-19 Vulnerability Index

Economics Image

Accolades for Economics and Country Risk Forecasts

Economics Image

Advisory Services for Predicting Business Dynamics

Construction Image

US Regional Service - State, City, Metro & County Economic Forecasts and Analysis

Automotive Image

AutoIntelligence suite

Chemical Image

Chemical Economics Handbooks (CEH)

Chemical Image

Estimate Capital Costs

Oil & Gas Upstream Image

Iraq Service

Automotive Image

Light Vehicle Production Forecasts

Automotive Image

Light Vehicle Sales Forecast

Chemical Image

Methanol & Other: Chemical Market Advisory Service

Automotive Image

Medium- and Heavy-Commercial Vehicle Model Family Sales Forecast

Chemical Image

Strategic Report - China Propane Dehydrogenation: Global Disruption on the Horizon?

Chemical Image

Strategic Report - Light Linear Alpha Olefin Market Study

Explore

  • Chemical
  • Economics
  • Economic Risk
  • Market Analysis & Forecasts
  • Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI)
  • Political Risk
{"items" : [ {"name":"facts","url":"","enabled":false,"desc":"","alt":"","mobdesc":"PDF","mobmsg":""},{"name":"login","url":"","enabled":false,"desc":"Product Login for existing customers","alt":"Login","large":true,"mobdesc":"Login","mobmsg":"Product Login for existing customers"},{"name":"sales","override":"","number":"[num]","enabled":true,"desc":"Call Sales [num]","proddesc":"[num]","alt":"Call Sales</br>[num]","mobdesc":"Sales","mobmsg":"Call Sales: [num]"}, {"name":"share","enabled":true,"desc":"<strong>Share</strong>","mobdesc":"Share","options":[ {"name":"facebook","url":"https://www.facebook.com/sharer.php?u=http%3a%2f%2fssl.ihsmarkit.com%2fmarketintelligence%2fen%2fmi%2fsolutions%2fus-gdp-growth-forecast.html","enabled":true},{"name":"twitter","url":"https://twitter.com/intent/tweet?url=http%3a%2f%2fssl.ihsmarkit.com%2fmarketintelligence%2fen%2fmi%2fsolutions%2fus-gdp-growth-forecast.html&text=United+States+(US)+GDP+Growth+Forecast+%7c+S%26P+Global","enabled":true},{"name":"linkedin","url":"https://www.linkedin.com/sharing/share-offsite/?url=http%3a%2f%2fssl.ihsmarkit.com%2fmarketintelligence%2fen%2fmi%2fsolutions%2fus-gdp-growth-forecast.html","enabled":true},{"name":"email","url":"?subject=United States (US) GDP Growth Forecast | S&P Global&body=http%3a%2f%2fssl.ihsmarkit.com%2fmarketintelligence%2fen%2fmi%2fsolutions%2fus-gdp-growth-forecast.html","enabled":true},{"name":"whatsapp","url":"https://api.whatsapp.com/send?text=United+States+(US)+GDP+Growth+Forecast+%7c+S%26P+Global http%3a%2f%2fssl.ihsmarkit.com%2fmarketintelligence%2fen%2fmi%2fsolutions%2fus-gdp-growth-forecast.html","enabled":true}]}, {"name":"rtt","enabled":true,"mobdesc":"Top"} ]}
Filter Sort