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Methanol Process Summary

PEP Review 2014-06

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Published October 2014


Methanol is a high-volume industrial alcohol (CAS: 67-56-1), which is a clear liquid at standard temperature and pressure with a low viscosity. It is used primarily as a feedstock to make derivative chemicals. Methanol can also be used to produce gasoline via the ExxonMobil MTG process, as commercialized in New Zealand. Its chemical structure is CH3OH, and its molecular weight is 32.04 g/mol. Methanol is highly flammable and toxic to humans.

In 2013, global methanol demand was approximately 60 million metric tons, while supply was 97 million metric tons, resulting in an industry capacity utilization of 62%. Global demand growth between 2013 and 2015 is expected to average 7.5% per year. Major global methanol producers include Methanex (Canada), National Petrochemical Company (Iran), Sabic (Saudi Arabia), Petronas (Malaysia), and Kingboard (Hong Kong). Methanol spot prices for the largest market (China) were $350-450/mt during 2013.

Methanol is produced commercially in a 3-step process. In the first step, synthesis gas (a hydrogen:carbon monoxide vapor mixture with a molar ratio of 2:1) is produced from natural gas in most countries, but from coal via gasification in China. In the second step, the synthesis gas is condensed to produce crude methanol in a fixed bed reactor using copper/zinc on alumina catalyst. In the third step, methanol is purified by conventional fractional distillation.

This review presents the production economics for producing methanol from natural gas and separately from syngas via four licensed technology processes (Haldor-Topsoe, JM /Davy, Lurgi, and Toyo Engineering). We also present the integrated Lurgi coal-to-methanol process. Lastly, we present production economics for producing methanol from coal via five separate licensed gasification technologies (GE Quench, GE Radiant, Shell Oil, CB&I E-Gas, and Siemens). Our production economics are based upon ‘mega methanol’ production capacity of nominally 5,000 metric tons per day.

This review also highlights the new iPEPSpectra™ cost module. The cost module, which is provided with the electronic version of this review, is a powerful interactive tool with which the user can interpret data in a flexible manner by generating pivot tables and corresponding charts. In this review, the iPEPSpectra™ cost module is demonstrated with historical economics for the methanol processes for different regions of the world. Until now, most process economics were presented as snapshot comparisons. Due to fluctuation and variation of feedstock and utility prices over time and in different regions, ranking of the processes using a snapshot comparison can be misleading. An iPEPSpectra™ historical economics comparison provides a more comprehensive way of assessing competing technologies, leading to a more valid investment decision.

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Table of Contents

Section Page Number

Executive summary 1
Introduction 1
Process technology 1
Product properties 2
Developing technologies 2
Natural gas based licensors 3
Coal gasification based licensors 3
Production economics 3
Methanol production processes 4
Introduction 4
Reaction chemistry 6
Steam methane reforming (SMR) chemistry 7
Partial oxidation (POX) chemistry 8
Combined reforming chemistry 9
Autothermal reforming (ATR) chemistry 11
Coal gasification chemistry 13
Methanol synthesis reaction chemistry 15
Methanol synthesis reaction kinetics 17
Water gas shift reaction 18
CO2 dry reforming 19
Methane cracking 19
Product properties 19
Development status 20
Licensor design advances 21
JM/Davy advanced gas-heated reformer 21
Lurgi’s two-stage methanol synthesis converter 24
Oxygen-blown autothermal reformer technology 27
Air pre-heat steam methane reformer 28
Status of catalyst development 29
Reforming catalysts 29
Methanol synthesis catalysts 29
Typical methanol synthesis converter configurations 30
Process technology alternatives 31
Major commercial methanol licensor offerings 31
Haldor-Topsoe commercial technology 31
JM/Davy low pressure methanol technology 42
Lurgi methanol process technology 55
Toyo Engineering methanol process 65
Coal gasification for methanol production 79
Licensed gasifier technologies 86
Comparison of key process parameters of commercial processes 89
Process economics 92
Introduction 92
Prior PEP publications 92
Economic basis of comparison 93
Feedstock prices 93
Energy and utility unit prices 93
Fixed cost factored estimating factors 94
IHS assumptions for economic analysis 94
Capital investment 95
Project construction timing 96
Available utilities 96
Production cost factors 97
Project economics for natural gas and generic coal based mega methanol processes 97
Capital cost comparison 97
Feedstock consumption intensity 99
Production cost comparison 100
Capital cost segmentation by plant section 101
Mega methanol production economics from syngas 101
Capital cost estimates for ‘back end’ of process 102
Syngas unit raw material consumption 103
Production cost estimate 104
Product margin analysis 105
Coal gasification licensor mega methanol production economics 106
Capital cost comparison 108
Unit coal consumption to produce methanol 109
Unit production cost to produce methanol via coal gasification technologies 110
Profit margin analysis for making methanol via licensed coal gasification technologies 112
Methanol market overview 113
Uses for methanol 113
Conventional uses for methanol 113
Demand drivers for methanol demand growth 113
Emerging uses for methanol 115
Demand for methanol 116
Global methanol demand 116
Segmentation of demand by use 116
Segmentation of methanol demand geographically 117
Historical methanol demand growth 118
Forecast methanol demand growth – geographically and by end use 120
Methanol supply 120
Distribution of global methanol capacity by region 121
Distribution of global methanol capacity by producing company 121
Recent announcements of new capacity 122
Market share of methanol technology licensors 123
Market selection of process technology 124
Methanol global trade 125
Trade patterns 125
Drivers for methanol trade 125
Map of methanol trade 125
Methanol pricing 126
Historic prices for methanol 126
Feedstock historical pricing – Natural gas and coal 127
Historical economics comparison – an iPEPSpectraTM analysis 128
Historical prices 128
Historic methanol pricing 128
Historic natural gas prices 129
Historic coal prices 131
Historic and projected capacity, consumption and operating rates 133
Historical process economics comparison – the iPEPSpectra™ cost module 135
Environmental emissions 152
Greenhouse gas carbon dioxide emissions 152
IHS PEP convention for accounting for carbon dioxide emissions 153
Process emissions 153
Emissions from on-site combustion 154
Emissions from off-site electrical generation 154
How we arrived at these emissions estimates 154
Calculating process emissions 154
Calculating emissions from on-site combustion 155
Calculating emissions from off-site electrical generation 155
Supplemental data sources for methanol plant CO2 emissions 155
Natural gas based methanol plant data 156
Coal based methanol plant data 160
Natural gas based estimate of CO2 emissions from licensor specific methanol processes 160
Coal based estimate of CO2 emissions from licensor specific methanol processes 161
Water consumption 162
References 163
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