The energy transition is no longer part of a distant forecast but has arrived in many places around the world. This change will impact the refinery and petrochemical industries in profound way. The refining industry will face unprecedented challenges as the transportation sector reinvents itself and the demand for fuels no longer supports the current refinery setup. This study addresses S&P Global’s view on the complex product and feedstocks balance of the integrated downstream system under future scenarios. This study will enable stakeholders to:
From Fuels to Chemicals: Navigating the energy transition, integration technologies and future markets
Study deliverables include
- Strategic industry analysis for refinery and petrochemical integration, from a consolidated full value chain review from crude oil, refined products and chemical feedstocks to key basic petrochemicals such as plastics/polymers and aromatics
- Analysis across refined products and key petrochemicals
- Key analysis will be considered using three different scenarios “Rivalry” (S&P Global base case),“Autonomy” (S&P Global accelerated progression towards circularity case) and “Green Rules” (S&P Global bridge scenario approaching net zero).
- Technology and economic evaluation across greenfield “crude to chemicals” vs. incremental brownfield investments
- Supply capacity and integration
- Pricing andmargins in one single study
- Detailed supply analysis at the regional level, including incremental adjustments to brownfield assets, as well as addition of greenfield supply
- Carbon emissions (CO2) calculations for configurations to compare emissions across configuruations.
- Datasets for global regions from 2010 through 2050 including:
- Refining, petrochemical and integrated downstream capacities and projects for traditional and new integration processes
- Benchmark economics for assessed refinery and petrochemical configuration options
- Main refined product balances, prices and price/margin relationships
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