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Ammonia Fertilizer Market and Price Analysis

Learn more about Ammonia Fertilizer Market and Price Analysis

Ammonia is one of the most widely produced industrial chemicals in the world. It is the primary component used to produce all nitrogen containing fertilizers (urea, nitrates, ammonium sulphate, MAP and DAP), and is important in the manufacture of a wide range of industrial chemicals.

Key facts about the ammonia fertilizer market
  • The global ammonia market amounts to 191 million tonnes, of which just below 10% (20 million tonnes) is traded on the world market.
  • Global capacity expanded at a higher rate than demand over 2011-2015 due to significant new investments and has now reached 230 million tonnes with utilisation rates below 80%.
  • Growth of export-oriented capacity in Indonesia, Russia and Oman, and import substitution capacity in the US have led to more competition and a reshaping of trade flows (Trinidad and Indonesia looking for new markets and competing with the traditional suppliers).
  • New developments in feedstocks: higher coal and gas prices have caused sharp cost increases in many regions (notably Europe and China), in many cases forcing plant closures and causing prices to increase sharply
  • New challenges: “green ammonia” technologies could change the landscape in the next 10-20 years.

Unlock new opportunities in the global ammonia market
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Green and Blue Ammonia: Outlook for a Carbon-Free Ammonia Market
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Key themes affecting the ammonia fertilizer market

Higher feedstock costs in some regions have made the international cost curve steeper, lifting prices to genuinely “unprecedented” levels. While a degree of softening is expected at some point in the future, the timing, pace and magnitude of the adjustment require deep analysis to be properly assessed. All the while, more and more countries continue to develop policy agendas to support decarbonization efforts, often including “green” ammonia as a core component.

Average annual ammonia prices and import volumes internationally
Fob Black Sea priceCfr Tampa PriceTTF Europe gas price, $/mmbtuUS imports, thousand tonnesChina imports, thousand tonnes
2017$269$283$5.73,746 kt719 kt
2018$289$315$7.92,920 kt933 kt
2019$235$250$4.42,459 kt1,054 kt
2020$204$236$3.12,364 kt1,154 kt
2021$539$617$16.24,034 kt850 kt

Solutions

At IHS Markit we offer market-leading ammonia fertilizer information solutions via our globally recognised Fertecon service. Specialists in offering comprehensive data and analysis across the global fertilizer market, with current, short-term and long-term solutions to support all operational needs in your organisation.

Current price reports
Weekly Report

Keep abreast of the ammonia market and spot new opportunities with our weekly market report. Key benefits include reliable price discovery, news on key developments, and trade statistics and news alerts.

More about our Methodology
Short-term price forecasts
Monthly Futures Report

Plan for the mid-term and make smarter investment decisions with our ammonia market intelligence. Key benefits include global market overview, major company news, and trade statistics alerts.

Long-term market outlooks
Quarterly Market Reports

Steer your business in the right strategic direction with this in-depth quarterly report on the ammonia market, forecasting out 10 years. Key benefits include comprehensive market analysis, price, supply demand and trade forecasts, and coverage of hot topics.

Bespoke solutions
Green and Blue Ammonia: Outlook for a Carbon-Free Ammonia Market

The study will provide you with a detailed review of the current state-of-play for this emerging sector, including regulation and certification requirements to underwrite the developments.

Key questions answered:

Are there good alternatives to fossil fuels to supply our energy needs?

What is the commercial viability for green and blue ammonia investments?

What is the potential for the up-scale of carbon-free ammonia as a fuel, energy storage, hydrogen provision and energy carrier?

Will the need to reduce carbon emissions affect the fertilizer sector and if so, how?

Download prospectus

API and Data Feeds

Pricing, supply-demand and forecasts on the ammonia market delivered directly to your organisation to support centralised models and trading systems used by team members across your business.

Find out more
One-time Data Exports

Over three decades of historical ammonia pricing, production and trade data across all core nutrients available to purchase to support your organisation with strategic analysis and economic modelling./p>

Consulting

Consulting services spanning all your needs in the fertilizer markets, from long-term forecasting beyond what is available in our subscription services to market studies for financial investments reviewing everything from market forecasts to competitor intelligence.

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